How the crash odds work
Every Solacrash round's crash point is decided before betting opens, from a seed whose hash is published in advance. The seed becomes a random number u between 0 and 1, and the crash point is 0.98 ÷ u, rounded down to two decimals. That single line gives every probability on this page: the chance of reaching any target m is exactly 0.98 ÷ m.
| Cash out at | Chance | How often | 10 misses in a row |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1× | 89.09% | 1 in 1.1 | <0.01% |
| 1.5× | 65.33% | 1 in 1.5 | <0.01% |
| 2× | 49.00% | 1 in 2.0 | 0.12% |
| 3× | 32.67% | 1 in 3.1 | 1.92% |
| 5× | 19.60% | 1 in 5.1 | 11.29% |
| 10× | 9.80% | 1 in 10 | 35.65% |
| 50× | 1.96% | 1 in 51 | 82.04% |
| 100× | 0.98% | 1 in 102 | 90.62% |
| 1000× | 0.10% | 1 in 1,020 | 99.02% |
Why the expected result never changes
Multiply the chance by the payout and you always get the same number: 0.98 ÷ m × m = 0.98. Whatever target you pick, each bet returns 98% of its stake on average, which is the 2% house edge. A 1.5× target wins two times in three but pays little; a 100× target almost never hits but pays big when it does. The calculator's "chance to be ahead" shows the trade-off: low targets keep you close to even for longer, high targets make a big swing either way more likely.
Losing streaks are longer than they feel
At 2×, missing ten times in a row sounds rare, but it happens about 1 in 840 runs of ten, and over a thousand rounds the longest streak you should expect is around nine. That is why betting systems that double after every loss eventually meet a streak they can't pay for. Try it in the Martingale simulator.